Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.120190 0.128941 0.138007 0.148108 0.159053 0.170563 0.183595
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.106754 0.119756 0.133919 0.150522 0.169494 0.190542 0.215728
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.096122 0.111069 0.127902 0.148324 0.172517 0.200363 0.234988
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.088506 0.104738 0.123518 0.146950 0.175541 0.209467 0.253028
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.081128 0.097943 0.117841 0.143262 0.175070 0.213806 0.264936
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.075899 0.093278 0.114266 0.141657 0.176718 0.220439 0.279629
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.072221 0.090225 0.112378 0.141863 0.180414 0.229563 0.297704
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.067902 0.086071 0.108800 0.139589 0.180615 0.233974 0.309562
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.064626 0.083047 0.106454 0.138694 0.182436 0.240421 0.324281
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.063711 0.083017 0.107943 0.142864 0.191132 0.256384 0.352798
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.060961 0.080395 0.105835 0.142010 0.192824 0.262714 0.367952
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.058392 0.077884 0.103734 0.141010 0.194182 0.268524 0.382509
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.055090 0.074288 0.100071 0.137761 0.192336 0.269873 0.390888
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.053895 0.073555 0.100330 0.140062 0.198556 0.283159 0.417852
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.051381 0.070852 0.097689 0.138032 0.198288 0.286804 0.430191
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049290 0.068655 0.095656 0.136765 0.199035 0.291916 0.444970
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046697 0.065627 0.092297 0.133365 0.196363 0.291630 0.451060
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.044840 0.063592 0.090292 0.131884 0.196517 0.295643 0.464193
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.043577 0.062375 0.089429 0.132075 0.199229 0.303724 0.484349
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.041757 0.060261 0.087148 0.129977 0.198221 0.305796 0.494508
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.040385 0.058766 0.085733 0.129152 0.199173 0.311020 0.510217
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.040302 0.059211 0.087265 0.132998 0.207794 0.329134 0.549107
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.039051 0.057822 0.085927 0.132210 0.208779 0.334584 0.566013